Fifa International · resolved market
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09620e07d807241bb41e5cf07d42dfd3e08943ee39e5c93ae3890e3b6164822e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,919,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,670,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,919,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,069 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd650…14fbbacked Yes | 63c | 3,518,193$2,199,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318,667.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 65c | 1,900,768$1,236,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664,216.72 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 37c | 1,519,189$559,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559,352.3 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 68c | 1,300,001$879,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420,148.43 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 37c | 1,274,060$475,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475,561.73 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 28c | 942,544$267,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267,147.78 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes | 73c | 603,000$440,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,810.06 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 34c | 593,794$203,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,999.94 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 38c | 550,999$209,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209,979.7 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 543,190$150,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,189.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 28c | 535,621$148,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,566.84 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ba…dababacked Yes | 64c | 468,750$300,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,750 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 67c | 373,475$251,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,135.01 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed Yes | 72c | 318,715$228,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,614.42 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 264,715$91,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,487.12 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 32c | 254,020$81,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,746.19 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 62c | 250,498$154,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,834.08 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aeb…eb6cbacked No | 40c | 250,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 39c | 234,075$92,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,420.91 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 36c | 230,052$83,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,515.07 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 37c | 225,000$84,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,000 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 36c | 221,840$79,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,394.32 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 219,161$82,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,450.8 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 35c | 206,976$71,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,567.02 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 75c | 206,406$155,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,156.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 72c | 200,000$144,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed No | 27c | 200,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,999.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 35c | 169,596$58,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,790.93 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa078…419abacked Yes | 60c | 159,552$95,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,820.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…e539backed Yes | 62c | 159,104$98,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,459.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 146,807$90,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,190.92 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 33c | 139,305$45,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,325.96 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 22c | 125,885$27,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,469.77 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 60c | 125,156$75,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,062.41 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 35c | 121,325$42,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,996.98 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 32c | 119,696$38,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,610.64 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 29c | 117,000$33,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,929.93 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 27c | 114,100$30,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,470.96 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…7fd4backed Yes | 65c | 107,692$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,692.31 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Yes | 61c | 100,028$60,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,188.47 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 36c | 99,010$35,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,155.66 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 72c | 96,919$69,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,137.38 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 61c | 95,277$58,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,721.27 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 70c | 92,590$65,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,462.1 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 30c | 84,324$25,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,297.31 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 37c | 82,200$30,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,103.6 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 7c | 82,168$5,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661.16 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 5c | 81,907$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.44 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 36c | 73,920$26,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,891.58 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 30c | 73,089$21,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,834.66 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 37c | 72,652$26,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,891.12 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Yes | 70c | 72,387$50,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,716.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 9c | 70,910$6,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,193.83 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 29c | 70,000$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,299.96 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 35c | 69,444$24,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,039.89 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 37c | 69,111$25,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,387.8 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 31c | 66,600$20,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,931.3 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed No | 32c | 65,898$21,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,104.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…aba9backed Yes | 77c | 64,935$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,935.06 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 37c | 64,286$23,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,468.51 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed No | 10c | 62,056$6,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,312.72 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 37c | 61,914$22,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,839.49 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 71c | 60,000$42,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,660 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 31c | 56,700$17,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,808.98 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 62c | 55,287$34,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,224 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 69c | 54,707$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,707.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 39c | 54,000$21,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,059.97 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 53,112$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 40c | 52,764$20,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,856.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 35c | 52,221$18,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,285.2 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 60c | 50,670$30,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,252.41 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 35c | 50,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,399.92 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 38c | 48,867$18,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,569.46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed No | 37c | 48,242$17,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,610.29 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…d4e2backed No | 36c | 48,180$17,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,344.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 36c | 47,893$17,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,243.47 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 39c | 47,737$18,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,550.25 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 34c | 46,364$15,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,559.63 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes | 59c | 45,367$26,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,534.88 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 66c | 44,135$29,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,878.86 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No | 38c | 40,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 38c | 39,238$14,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,910.46 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 64c | 39,063$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,062.5 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed No | 37c | 39,000$14,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,429.84 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Yes | 69c | 38,000$26,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,736.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 38c | 36,375$13,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,812.5 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476f…f8b9backed Yes | 61c | 36,066$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,065.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 5c | 35,400$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.82 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 36c | 34,223$12,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,355.45 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…c168backed Yes | 60c | 33,334$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,333.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed No | 39c | 33,333$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 37c | 32,937$12,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,030.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 60c | 32,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 40c | 31,747$12,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,698.98 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed Yes | 66c | 31,055$20,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,454.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 71c | 30,000$21,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 27c | 30,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 37c | 30,000$11,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,179.92 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 37c | 29,876$11,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,166.59 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?this page
- Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?No won
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.