Fed Rates · resolved market
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7cb4135c6d9c36da0e343874dd5b455de739c6d1b9f9f5583dd9320aacf5db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,037,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,805,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,037,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 769 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x371a…cc13backed Yes | 0c | 2,460,648$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 1,718,061$5,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.91 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 0c | 1,560,280$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.37 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…ab2fbacked Yes | 0c | 1,250,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 1,207,109$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.93 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -95.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed Yes | 0c | 1,180,811$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Yes | 0c | 1,116,246$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…5fa6backed Yes | 0c | 999,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 699,084$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 1c | 534,331$7,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,227.73 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…cb13backed Yes | 0c | 530,788$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.77 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…3690backed Yes | 0c | 493,379$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…e124backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7699…70b9backed Yes | 0c | 304,860$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 268,333$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.35 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 1c | 242,810$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.93 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…82f7backed Yes | 0c | 242,466$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…082abacked Yes | 0c | 240,793$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…b0b3backed Yes | 0c | 240,485$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5a12backed Yes | 0c | 232,180$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…40a5backed Yes | 3c | 230,397$6,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,948.25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 0c | 223,399$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.08 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed Yes | 0c | 211,590$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…b9d6backed Yes | 2c | 205,879$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a001backed Yes | 0c | 196,645$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…27ddbacked Yes | 0c | 191,169$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 0c | 175,336$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 1c | 174,767$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 165,524$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b4…9846backed Yes | 0c | 141,120$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…3dd1backed Yes | 0c | 138,333$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4330…fae6backed Yes | 0c | 133,758$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…52c4backed Yes | 1c | 127,184$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 3c | 124,262$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.41 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…0b7abacked Yes | 0c | 124,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed Yes | 1c | 105,976$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…7f12backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…f876backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…c646backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…ac0bbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…23bfbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 0c | 99,423$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…5f9dbacked Yes | 1c | 97,916$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2a…4d9abacked Yes | 0c | 93,470$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 0c | 93,382$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…2ee7backed Yes | 1c | 93,128$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…4991backed Yes | 2c | 92,014$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…fe63backed Yes | 2c | 91,062$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…06a3backed Yes | 0c | 88,394$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85d…5331backed Yes | 0c | 85,757$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…dbbfbacked Yes | 1c | 84,000$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Yes | 0c | 80,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa450…a81abacked Yes | 0c | 72,886$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Yes | 0c | 69,643$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…17e1backed Yes | 0c | 65,790$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…dd25backed Yes | 1c | 64,762$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…d73cbacked Yes | 0c | 58,505$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940f…158dbacked Yes | 0c | 57,245$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…92e9backed Yes | 1c | 56,609$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 55,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 1c | 54,800$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…5ad3backed Yes | 0c | 54,395$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6314…0183backed Yes | 0c | 54,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…0b49backed Yes | 1c | 53,531$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…5cccbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…740fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…5479backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…cbb1backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180b…4725backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…150cbacked Yes | 1c | 49,871$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd4…946ebacked Yes | 0c | 49,174$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…516dbacked Yes | 0c | 46,835$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc7…b358backed Yes | 0c | 46,135$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…d531backed Yes | 3c | 45,156$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.2 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes | 1c | 44,003$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +111%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…c2b0backed Yes | 0c | 44,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…f205backed Yes | 0c | 44,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ecc5backed Yes | 1c | 42,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…b69fbacked Yes | 3c | 41,982$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.37 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 3c | 41,676$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.67 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…59f1backed Yes | 0c | 40,222$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…132bbacked Yes | 1c | 40,039$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…504ebacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36af…fa87backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 0c | 39,601$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…77bbbacked Yes | 1c | 38,160$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 0c | 38,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de0…0f0fbacked Yes | 0c | 36,104$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221b…ea52backed Yes | 1c | 36,097$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 35,633$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…3852backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 0c | 34,842$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…ff57backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd50…6500backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.