Fed Rates · resolved market
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e4a7df876b0c04f0b8b29b9073eddfbaf5c787192da825ae7ca1031bc8cfd15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,866,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,207,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,866,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 627 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 3,698,787$9,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,597.88 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…c3f8backed Yes | 0c | 3,141,757$12,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,223.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 2,989,774$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.7 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -95.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 0c | 2,365,320$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.28 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…e71ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,170,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…8fa8backed Yes | 0c | 1,155,853$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,153,843$7,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,866.42 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…776bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,091,569$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed Yes | 0c | 780,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…3a13backed Yes | 0c | 726,930$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 725,537$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.92 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 0c | 555,555$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3527…150fbacked Yes | 1c | 553,941$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…1d43backed Yes | 0c | 446,928$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed Yes | 0c | 444,070$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 0c | 419,999$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 363,369$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.85 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdb…4496backed Yes | 0c | 349,904$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…9491backed Yes | 0c | 333,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85d…5331backed Yes | 0c | 307,607$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…3581backed Yes | 0c | 242,130$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.35 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…af3ebacked Yes | 0c | 235,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…56a3backed Yes | 1c | 216,133$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 207,614$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.86 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…cbb1backed Yes | 0c | 205,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 0c | 200,884$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.53 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…486abacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca6…7179backed Yes | 0c | 169,605$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…aca6backed Yes | 0c | 157,720$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 1c | 145,066$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.42 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…c8f6backed Yes | 1c | 138,132$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 1c | 131,370$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.85 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 1c | 127,748$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.39 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…310bbacked Yes | 1c | 121,179$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.79 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d2…e13ebacked Yes | 1c | 112,528$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 1c | 107,922$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.61 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 100,165$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…7f12backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…1c04backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 2c | 99,556$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.83 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 0c | 91,500$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…97a5backed Yes | 0c | 90,840$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…759abacked Yes | 0c | 89,143$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac0…7327backed Yes | 0c | 82,540$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ca…edb7backed Yes | 1c | 79,698$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…25b8backed Yes | 1c | 79,428$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…d531backed Yes | 1c | 78,165$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.32 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…35e6backed Yes | 1c | 73,416$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…6104backed Yes | 1c | 73,061$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.4 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 69,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…204dbacked Yes | 1c | 60,718$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 0c | 60,295$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…6de9backed Yes | 1c | 55,000$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…69c3backed Yes | 0c | 54,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 1c | 53,827$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…86c9backed Yes | 0c | 52,787$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…06a3backed Yes | 0c | 52,344$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433e…86fcbacked Yes | 0c | 51,111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2056…4078backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…dcc8backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…a30dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…3c57backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 0c | 49,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0d48backed Yes | 0c | 49,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…6de5backed Yes | 0c | 47,752$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 2c | 47,358$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1828backed Yes | 1c | 46,696$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…97cbbacked Yes | 1c | 46,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 1c | 46,161$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0960backed Yes | 0c | 43,977$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…ce9bbacked Yes | 1c | 43,757$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…c1b4backed Yes | 1c | 42,492$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 0c | 42,136$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647f…e7efbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…23bfbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…0283backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…fe63backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19c…2467backed Yes | 0c | 39,575$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…0b49backed Yes | 1c | 37,944$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fe…f330backed Yes | 0c | 36,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…59a0backed Yes | 1c | 35,628$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a83…a9a0backed Yes | 1c | 33,735$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 32,600$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.7 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 32,510$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…ddb7backed Yes | 1c | 31,955$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…2ee7backed Yes | 1c | 30,722$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,675$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 30,025$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1905…d06cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…e818backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d84ebacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…6b1fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…976abacked Yes | 1c | 28,985$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…a305backed Yes | 1c | 27,005$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.