Fed Rates · resolved market
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdde06286a7b9464d344f410ab0b3d2ebc6469904e72c27fd982f65fdbf78768d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,934,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,871,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,934,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Yes | 0c | 2,448,371$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…cbb1backed Yes | 0c | 1,750,690$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 1,466,733$7,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,266.86 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -95.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…776bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,194,169$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 917,033$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.77 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 1c | 747,570$9,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,837.01 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 1c | 549,051$5,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,407.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 0c | 501,499$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.06 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 0c | 400,000$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 1c | 379,705$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.13 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…e71ebacked Yes | 0c | 355,320$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Yes | 13c | 300,288$39,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,558.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…6ea1backed Yes | 0c | 266,875$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 257,059$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.68 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…f8a5backed Yes | 1c | 256,220$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 0c | 242,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…a305backed Yes | 1c | 237,516$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…ec7dbacked Yes | 4c | 220,000$8,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,414.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdb…4496backed Yes | 0c | 217,606$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…af3ebacked Yes | 0c | 210,498$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 1c | 208,977$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.59 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…0c64backed Yes | 0c | 198,828$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…486abacked Yes | 0c | 198,716$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 1c | 190,123$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.56 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…cb13backed Yes | 0c | 185,320$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…c3f8backed Yes | 2c | 165,051$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa998…1b64backed Yes | 0c | 156,697$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca6…7179backed Yes | 0c | 156,430$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 2c | 147,613$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.83 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 0c | 142,351$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.2 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…65d2backed Yes | 1c | 135,288$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed Yes | 0c | 127,061$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7699…70b9backed Yes | 0c | 125,107$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…8fa8backed Yes | 0c | 124,850$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…e818backed Yes | 0c | 112,690$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…6104backed Yes | 1c | 103,521$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 0c | 102,865$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…64e7backed Yes | 0c | 102,160$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 101,000$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…3581backed Yes | 2c | 100,465$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.95 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…7f12backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…cbb8backed Yes | 0c | 97,417$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Yes | 1c | 95,925$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…c8f6backed Yes | 2c | 90,314$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…40a5backed Yes | 2c | 89,989$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.84 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 2c | 89,630$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…6de9backed Yes | 2c | 89,016$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…59a0backed Yes | 1c | 87,984$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 1c | 85,000$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.12 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f8ccbacked Yes | 0c | 83,333$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…06a3backed Yes | 1c | 76,759$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.41 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…af38backed Yes | 1c | 75,983$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…64c6backed Yes | 0c | 75,457$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed Yes | 1c | 75,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fef…4849backed Yes | 0c | 71,410$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 0c | 68,067$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.69 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 3c | 67,324$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.76 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc9…ec4bbacked Yes | 1c | 67,129$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6314…0183backed Yes | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…6865backed Yes | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647f…e7efbacked Yes | 2c | 65,447$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…f082backed Yes | 3c | 63,430$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…396bbacked Yes | 3c | 63,205$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 3c | 62,707$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 61,220$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.49 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…014abacked Yes | 1c | 60,400$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…fb8abacked Yes | 1c | 60,001$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda37…fa9ebacked Yes | 1c | 59,692$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…9209backed Yes | 3c | 58,773$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 1c | 57,779$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.98 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 2c | 57,037$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…3f2cbacked Yes | 1c | 54,170$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…310bbacked Yes | 2c | 51,850$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.03 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…740fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…27ddbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…a30dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85d…5331backed Yes | 0c | 49,999$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…25b8backed Yes | 1c | 47,646$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…745cbacked Yes | 1c | 47,189$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…a61bbacked Yes | 0c | 47,085$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 0c | 42,865$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 0c | 42,817$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…8267backed Yes | 2c | 42,787$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…759abacked Yes | 1c | 42,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…92e9backed Yes | 0c | 41,333$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 2c | 40,000$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…0095backed Yes | 0c | 39,863$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…c2b0backed Yes | 0c | 39,833$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…1d43backed Yes | 0c | 38,554$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…2760backed Yes | 7c | 36,247$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda7…7223backed Yes | 1c | 35,603$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…13c6backed Yes | 1c | 35,416$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…3206backed Yes | 9c | 35,338$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd847…ae3abacked Yes | 0c | 35,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…c448backed Yes | 0c | 34,167$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 33,359$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.