Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28b2accdece4a26447831917223b5d777a5839ffe927230b4457ab6d383e6d18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 331.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 1,426 | 40.8%582 W · 844 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 66c | 324.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…3ab0backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…3dd1backed No | 37c | 229.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 65c | 152.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 103.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1,933 | 45.3%876 W · 1,057 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked No | 36c | 95.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 93.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 493 | 48.5%239 W · 254 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f2…94c0backed No | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 65c | 89.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 37c | 89.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 63c | 77.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 35c | 69.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…00edbacked Yes | 41c | 58.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes | 61c | 52.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 240 | 42.5%102 W · 138 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked Yes | 64c | 47.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff4…c45cbacked Yes | 58c | 47.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 52c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 66c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.