Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0282a66ebee0e420663103e6fe7aa3bd6dd40bee667089d130df610dd3ebc9e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 15c | 5,527$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 2,742$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.04 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 41c | 2,701$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 13c | 1,583$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 35c | 1,449$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.65 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 68c | 1,420$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 1,271$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.68 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 33c | 1,101$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 59c | 612.33$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 79c | 342.36$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Under | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 77c | 254.16$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 15c | 242.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 229.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 187.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 17c | 182$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 146.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 56c | 88.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed Under | 42c | 69.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Under | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…570ebacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 79c | 21.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Over | 55c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…6a3abacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 68c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 79c | 14.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.