Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedeebe6e93a09929922019451b8a86c1afae9e61618f5a96f981d9de30ea2917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Paris FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 19c | 2,498$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.62 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris FC | 79c | 1,927$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.22 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 22c | 1,878$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 22c | 1,448$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.66 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 19c | 455.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Paris FC | 78c | 385.44$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Paris FC | 79c | 349.17$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Paris FC | 78c | 128.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Paris FC | 79c | 126.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Paris FC | 76c | 119.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 19c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 19c | 88.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Paris FC | 79c | 68.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Paris FC | 78c | 51.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Paris FC | 75c | 40.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Paris FC | 78c | 30.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Paris FC | 78c | 26.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Paris FC | 78c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Paris FC | 78c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Paris FC | 79c | 24.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Paris FC | 79c | 23.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 77cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Paris FC | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Paris FC | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…85d2backed Paris FC | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Paris FC | 78c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)this page
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.