Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e6e620d28adbca6d694a4d9640f9270584eaa952f6fde584abbc8b4acefd78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 48c | 3,002$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 2,086$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.4 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,519$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.01 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.95 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 49c | 1,385$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,246$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.88 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 611.39$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 77c | 600$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 77c | 395.81$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 17c | 333$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Under | 55c | 275.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.07 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 47c | 258$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 57c | 238.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 54c | 208.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…3a87backed Under | 53c | 175.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 53c | 164.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 161.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Under | 71c | 140.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Under | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 110.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 110.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Over | 47c | 109.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 54c | 101.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 47c | 81.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 80.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 79c | 78.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Under | 55c | 77.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 54c | 68.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 64.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Over | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked Under | 79c | 45.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 47c | 44.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…6eebbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Over | 47c | 37.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…de47backed Over | 48c | 33.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…30a1backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 55c | 28.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 25.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.