TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over42c30,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,40031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef8a…93ddbacked Under0c26,180$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under26c19,624$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,189.7420140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c14,246$8,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,642.586,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over49c7,566$3,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,858.462050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under28c7,116$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.4250%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over41c6,078$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,577.955442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under51c6,067$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.066139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under58c5,966$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.4314652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c5,553$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.814,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under58c4,800$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,78413155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under47c4,029$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.692152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under70c3,150$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2005954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under58c2,800$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62415255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under58c2,400$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39214158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over60c2,276$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.3476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over40c2,250$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3502123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+132.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under31c2,068$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6508116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1607959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.7110579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under61c1,618$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under58c1,600$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92817062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under58c1,490$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.210765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Under71c1,411$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c1,400$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.1259247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over54c1,226$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.1282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under58c1,040$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.213855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under50c1,010$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.723655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50a9…1221backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+104.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under32c1,000$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.186058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under58c900$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52218156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under58c900$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52216858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over42c898.72$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.3922049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over62c809.48$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.632339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over40c777.5$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.56852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over42c734.51$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5311449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over68c700$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22412642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over36c681.97$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.0388635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under58c672$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.7675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under50c666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33332037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under58c640$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.214354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under48c628.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under58c624$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9214658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under58c624$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9213858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over43c585.25$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.324835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under58c560$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.810960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.549724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c514.26$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.6957833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over41c510.25$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.2741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over48c507.6$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.031,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed Over67c496.58$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.431070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+71.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under47c424.35$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0172142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under42c403.61$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c400.97$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.761,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Under3c400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over72c335.43$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.265259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over54c332.7$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0414055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under45c328.89$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1486442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under61c317$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.376758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c310.67$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.291,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under40c305.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.168831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over54c268.22$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2673258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c261.52$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9154340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over39c251.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6259…c451backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under61c250$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over41c245.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.586142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over58c240.69$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8719356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5cc1…b855backed Over69c228.84$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.31040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Under45c223.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over39c222$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.423522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…2c97backed Under31c201.13$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.78119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-73.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over76c198.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2511437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over42c179.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.191540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over68c176.25$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under36c170.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.144932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under59c169.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over62c166$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0822644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.811457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over54c156.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0418851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under59c152$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.683161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.833551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under7c148.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked Over41c147.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.77875%6 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+109.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over68c142.68$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6620956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Under71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-56.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over71c139.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8828859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8916053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over64c137.57$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9514463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.