Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97e54f35caac4590d2d6a74a5305d4dcd11562173a02a41e86df8ba55595fc3e

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $68,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,361 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	9c	16,805$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	81	16%13 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over	63c	5,000$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.99	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Under	24c	4,660$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.95	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+5.8wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under	39c	4,534$1,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,768.1	201	40.8%82 W · 119 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	76c	2,962$2,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.19	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	37c	2,798$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.39	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	37c	2,526$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.35	406	55.2%224 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under	17c	1,971$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.06	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over	63c	1,719$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.06	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	38c	1,595$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	77c	1,200$924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	43c	1,100$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.99	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under	37c	999.97$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.99	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+11.0wins	+0.18per pick	40cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over	55c	980$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over	63c	906.56$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.69	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under	2c	878.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under	38c	772.14$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.67	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over	60c	699.96$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.99	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	79c	692.2$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.62	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	37c	630.15$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.15	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	17c	550$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	37c	474.48$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.56	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	61c	327$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.53	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	37c	275.16$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under	38c	260.18$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.87	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over	63c	238.1$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.1	223	56.5%126 W · 97 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	77c	237.6$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.7	140	55%77 W · 63 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	70c	204.54$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.11	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+21.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Over	63c	196.98$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.88	139	54%75 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under	17c	179.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	106	34%36 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over	57c	175.75$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.75	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	59c	168$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.88	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under	8c	148.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Over	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	68c	129.28$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.95	188	51.6%97 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	37c	116.96$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.21	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Under	37c	111.95$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.42	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over	61c	109.29$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.29	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	40c	104.33$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.73	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	37c	100.78$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.29	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	37c	99.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over	54c	99.99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.99	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd750…ce9cbacked Over	64c	92.57$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over	59c	85.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.02	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	109	71.6%78 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over	63c	78.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.22	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	63c	75.81$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.05	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	79c	69.85$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.52	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Over	76c	65.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3d…3681backed Over	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	63cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8f…2819backed Over	55c	61.67$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.75	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	57c	57.79$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.85	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	+13.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over	63c	47.62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.62	240	62.5%150 W · 90 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Over	65c	40.83$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.29	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	63c	37.2$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.76	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…3afdbacked Under	40c	37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce3…48adbacked Under	38c	36.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62ee…1183backed Over	63c	36.51$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2280…c978backed Over	63c	34.92$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+40%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over	57c	34.6$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.88	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over	57c	33.86$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.56	81	59.3%48 W · 33 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under	43c	32.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.76	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Under	46c	32.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	146	43.2%63 W · 83 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	34c	30.81$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	45c	29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under	36c	27.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under	38c	27.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under	39c	27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over	61c	24.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over	72c	23$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.33	245	57.6%141 W · 104 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over	63c	22.84$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.45	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48c2…2effbacked Over	63c	20.63$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.63	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Over	77c	14.66$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.38	70	60%42 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5this page
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event