TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x48c2…2eff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+200.9%+$36.17
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$26.13
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.22
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+300%+$36
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$11.66
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.4
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$9.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+171.9%+$27.5
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+83%+$14.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$50.47
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51%+$11.74
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$20.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.