Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41b3d3818852e116807475d5bda0ee3b7337bbdb0df073e6f9ab2e282145bd66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 62c | 3,571$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.29 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 39c | 1,236$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 1,179$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.22 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 906.49$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.59 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 882.04$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.53 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 79c | 475$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 61c | 411.48$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 22c | 288.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 194.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 61c | 179.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 128$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 61c | 88.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 60c | 86.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 61.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 48.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 33c | 41.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 61c | 22.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.