Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bbb35818d3a72b85df134431941431d0e0b6c2086c0c15c7e0d4ee4bb101303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 56c | 2,603$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.32 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,307$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.9 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…ce68backed Over | 29c | 1,598$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 43c | 1,255$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.13 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10a…7ee7backed Over | 50c | 710$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…9a90backed Over | 49c | 610$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 593.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Over | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 44c | 430.84$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 287 | 32.8%94 W · 193 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…b7cabacked Over | 3c | 386.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +244.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 55c | 320$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 63c | 298.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over | 43c | 238.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 235.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 43c | 234.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 43c | 227.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 207.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 29c | 194.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 76c | 191.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 41c | 175.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 30c | 116$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 16c | 113.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 30c | 107.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 23c | 100.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 58c | 79.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 67c | 73.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 42c | 69.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 34c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…1d89backed Over | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over | 43c | 53.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 30c | 50.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 44c | 34.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 47c | 31.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 50c | 25.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 57c | 24.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 58c | 17.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.