Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xade383ab367a6bc7d0c26afaf6a2058db08b22922db09c69127a4db0a6fa0f6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gwangju FCof Gangwon FC, Gwangju FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Gangwon FC | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gwangju FC | 70c | 945$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Gangwon FC | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Gangwon FC | 31c | 167.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Gwangju FC | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…9317backed Gangwon FC | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gwangju FC | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Gwangju FC | 60c | 64.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Gwangju FC | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Gwangju FC | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gwangju FC | 70c | 56.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Gwangju FC | 56c | 50.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gwangju FC | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gangwon FC | 39c | 25.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed Gwangju FC | 63c | 21.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.