Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f55dc837934a8c30bfe18db952f742c96a003fa250a46ad5133be52bf5ebbd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 1,122$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.25 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 55c | 714.09$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.34 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 711.49$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 652.86$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.26 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 44c | 613.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 404$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 56c | 375.52$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…c3c3backed Over | 46c | 306.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 22c | 299.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 201.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 187$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 40c | 152$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Over | 18c | 137.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 55c | 114$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 102.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 55c | 98.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 44c | 94.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…a1b5backed Over | 44c | 24.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.