La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a794a02e8850689ae986df2f19055e7369b75648d2ca5fafdb53de829a5727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 6,191$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.7 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 3,354$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.89 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Over | 29c | 1,610$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 46c | 890.7$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.98 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 28c | 872.1$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.98 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 711.5$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 27c | 649.03$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.26 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 74c | 639.34$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.63 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 63c | 475.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 27c | 393.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 31c | 289.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 62c | 234.01$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 24c | 221.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.24 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 17c | 217$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 14c | 192.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…5981backed Under | 76c | 169.66$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 26c | 163.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Under | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 69c | 143.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 21c | 137.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 26c | 115.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 71c | 108.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 66c | 105.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 73c | 101.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 75c | 84.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 63c | 81.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Under | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 25c | 74.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 63c | 71.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 68.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed Over | 28c | 62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 53.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 41c | 53.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1faebacked Over | 28c | 53.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 52.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 37c | 50.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 45c | 47.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 65c | 43.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 49c | 42.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 62c | 42.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 74c | 41.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 52c | 36.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…a66bbacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 39c | 29.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…2372backed Under | 73c | 27.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 64c | 25.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed Under | 76c | 25.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b5c8backed Under | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Under | 75c | 21.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 70c | 18.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 17.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5this page
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.