TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under37c17,060$6,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,327.248351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c9,371$4,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,059.174,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c3,363$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.61,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under43c3,144$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.3956439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c2,309$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.733,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over78c1,924$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.513366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c1,852$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.618041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over49c1,850$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.966858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.95957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over51c1,406$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.4923255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c1,345$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.0682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Under31c1,220$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.66261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Over49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over10c1,057$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.0735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over53c1,038$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.595554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over76c947.43$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c934.29$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.6792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over43c799.9$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.949751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over64c786.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.591952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3962941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over58c568.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9737829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under18c515.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5811820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Under71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under65c413.8$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9728446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under12c403.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4816348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over27c351.48$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.631266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.153740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under8c307.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7412964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13816745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over11c275$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7122246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over53c259.21$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.573354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over12c250$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22019037.9%72 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under50c249.22$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.613633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over41c241.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1212045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Under64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over77c216.32$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.751250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over70c213.85$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.852272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc942…c418backed Under78c196.95$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.62475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over56c189.94$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.999750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under41c178.69$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.873262.5%20 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Over57c173$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under20c166.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3420241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under35c166.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under54c164.24$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9928138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over40c163.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4159555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over44c149.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.347263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over31c141.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9415344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over59c140.42$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.254866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under52c137.31$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over32c120.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.611752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under13c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over48c120$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.822366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under67c112$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0424048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Over10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c98.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.768050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd2…084dbacked Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over58c86.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.424259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb26d…923ebacked Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Under27c84.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Over71c83.07$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.092378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over24c82.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.958342.2%35 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Over77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.13360.6%20 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2616865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over63c54.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.135375.5%40 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.634748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over46c52.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2322760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over35c50.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6426154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Over36c50.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.122347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over43c49.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.226437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.114551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under27c44.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220341.9%85 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over63c43.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Under57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.512544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over49c42.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.622356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Under74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.763151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under38c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick62cpaid-58%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over80c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711769.2%81 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7221457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aea…34b7backed Under65c34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc26c…b7cabacked Under30c33.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.416159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Over37c27.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.274854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over61c26.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3710843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over69c25.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3605…e7cbbacked Under50c24.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3340%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.