La Liga · resolved market
Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e7e08eadb3d0e56320472c08226106a86c812d896d83edd7d2ad4498452a224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Levante UDof CA Osasuna, Levante UD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Levante UD | 76c | 918.03$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.89 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Osasuna | 24c | 729.59$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed CA Osasuna | 32c | 184.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Levante UD | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked CA Osasuna | 22c | 46.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Levante UD | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Levante UD | 54c | 25.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)this page
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.