La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f79ad022a7c9dffea4773a95bdfe3d1e6b7d4c88ad80d16d564b0fa648859e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Osasunaof Levante UD, CA Osasuna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Levante UD | 16c | 1,128$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Osasuna | 75c | 537.38$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Levante UD | 29c | 519.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Levante UD | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Levante UD | 15c | 267.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Levante UD | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Osasuna | 75c | 227.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CA Osasuna | 74c | 158.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Levante UD | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Levante UD | 32c | 124.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Levante UD | 28c | 104.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Levante UD | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Levante UD | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Levante UD | 29c | 50.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Levante UD | 25c | 49.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Levante UD | 31c | 46.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Levante UD | 31c | 34.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed CA Osasuna | 74c | 31.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)this page
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.