La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee5e736103405a48fe64a6bfe10cc5c23f0ac4c9b6cac0304cf8df5780b8ce6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1626…9e8dbacked Under | 0c | 15,850$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 1c | 7,594$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 73c | 1,914$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.68 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 1,882$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.22 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 9c | 1,518$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…47ccbacked Under | 1c | 1,397$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 76c | 710.53$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 26c | 572.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 74c | 572.42$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 27c | 492.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Under | 28c | 475$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 74c | 320$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 74c | 316.2$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Under | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…09a8backed Over | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 73c | 103$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Under | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 76c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 74c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 74c | 69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 73c | 62.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 72c | 55.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 28c | 41.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 72c | 21.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 77c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5this page
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.