TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4064…f741backed Over48c67,981$32,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,480.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under50c26,450$13,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,153.2110450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c10,885$5,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,593.184,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under52c10,813$5,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6233240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under54c5,898$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.091450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under10c5,636$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3312020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over51c3,941$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.182475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.576550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under50c3,802$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9014938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under51c3,259$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.6735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.221163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56011154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under47c2,614$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.9356439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f19…6aabbacked Under53c2,317$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under52c2,225$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.856261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under51c1,960$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.788160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c1,919$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.792,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Under53c1,910$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.642737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over73c1,658$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.841,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under52c1,600$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83211054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over48c1,206$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63122246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6249457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa30…47ccbacked Under2c1,090$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c962$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2420159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c960$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.21,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c923.8$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.7747653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over46c900$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4852360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c889.04$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.163,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4161030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over46c699.71$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.397750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under54c650$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31210558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under51c579.94$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7710046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over49c569.94$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7569350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Under13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c449.97$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6975051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under52c438.67$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.117358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Over47c422.6$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.981741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under3c402.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0860732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed Under54c365.56$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under52c335$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.222446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c333.21$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2568050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15612159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under53c299.98$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9913450.7%68 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c287.84$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c287$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.241,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under53c276$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9611820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over69c271.3$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.14362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.89058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.89556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a8…22f0backed Under50c204.28$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under53c199.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c199.94$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.978341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c170.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.831,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under50c164.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4712042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.272948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.29753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.28758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under52c153.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1422658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.89660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.89354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under31c127.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4522553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609643.8%42 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.49060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.48457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Over46c119.52$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.542055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under14c106.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1421139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84a1…f630backed Over49c106.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Under55c105.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.131323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over47c105.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8115344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb03…791fbacked Under54c103.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over49c102.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.434548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5211449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd19c…160fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33a…d47abacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3663757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under51c90.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2345250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over47c89.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0716363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under48c88.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7528138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceab…d892backed Under54c83.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under53c81.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0722760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Under54c81.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.88850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.