Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf683b590eb6522899b4798021d451893da3c77eaf223e2c129383b67e66c9b63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 1,789$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.53 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,407$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.06 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 898.61$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.75 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 43c | 784.31$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 754.94$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.33 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 74c | 615.35$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 43c | 561.86$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.26 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 539.28$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 44c | 452.31$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 380.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 76c | 367.9$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…1ec0backed Under | 69c | 309.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Under | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 258.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 36c | 199.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 60c | 164.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…60d5backed Under | 29c | 140.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 131.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 62c | 101.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 52c | 97.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 65c | 92.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 37c | 66.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 64c | 64.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Under | 61c | 55.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 44c | 40.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 36c | 37.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 43c | 36.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 45c | 29.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 41c | 26.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…e34abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 72c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 0.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.