TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Racing Club de Lensof Racing Club de Lens, Olympique Lyonnais
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Racing Club de Lens8c2,325$177 inWon+$2,147.529637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Olympique Lyonnais43c1,494$645 inLost-$644.671,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Racing Club de Lens32c1,140$366 inWon+$773.911,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Racing Club de Lens9c551.1$50 inWon+$501.5226660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Olympique Lyonnais30c346.37$104 inLost-$103.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Racing Club de Lens40c200.53$80 inWon+$120.426755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8918…8824backed Racing Club de Lens73c136.99$100 inWon+$36.99666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Racing Club de Lens47c114.89$54 inWon+$60.896642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Racing Club de Lens72c99.99$72 inWon+$2826046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Olympique Lyonnais28c99.99$28 inLost-$2824051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Olympique Lyonnais79c97$77 inLost-$76.6359348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Olympique Lyonnais31c64.52$20 inLost-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+73.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Racing Club de Lens47c59.74$28 inWon+$31.664067.5%27 W · 13 L+9.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+99.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Racing Club de Lens45c36.2$16 inWon+$19.8222854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.