Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05512b5cfc702500819838f153171b5f250e208d1c279314613d7c7c660a304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 7,981$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.31 | 136 | 37.5%51 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 3,325$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.67 | 886 | 44.4%393 W · 493 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 3,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.94 | 553 | 49.5%274 W · 279 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 2,961$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.73 | 1,939 | 45.3%878 W · 1,061 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 10c | 2,387$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 67c | 1,464$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 60c | 1,200$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.23 | 269 | 60.6%163 W · 106 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 28c | 828.21$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.69 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 38c | 799.92$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.97 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 66c | 756.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 597.68$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.88 | 274 | 41.6%114 W · 160 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 34c | 595.51$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 244 | 43.4%106 W · 138 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 35c | 573.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 167 | 48.5%81 W · 86 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 545.44$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 539$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 1,441 | 41%591 W · 850 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 60c | 483.16$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.26 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 38c | 436.33$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 409.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 63c | 386.57$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 33c | 382.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 35c | 338.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 269 | 45%121 W · 148 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 38c | 329.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 249 | 48.6%121 W · 128 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 279$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 475 | 50.1%238 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 62c | 269.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 56c | 247.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 354 | 57.1%202 W · 152 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 247.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Under | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 35c | 182.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 126.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over | 64c | 126.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 62c | 122.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 75c | 112.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 37c | 111.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 37c | 111.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 36c | 102.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 37c | 91.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 77.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 320 | 48.1%154 W · 166 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 34c | 62.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed Under | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 64c | 57.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…ffd7backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 35c | 46.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 34c | 44.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Over | 64c | 43.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 64c | 40.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 64c | 37.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 66c | 34.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 333 | 45%150 W · 183 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…dda1backed Over | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 62c | 25.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…71bdbacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…68cebacked Over | 64c | 22.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 69c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 0.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.