TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Racing Club de Lensof Racing Club de Lens, Olympique Lyonnais
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,789 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Racing Club de Lens4c1,430$53 inWon+$1,377.661,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Racing Club de Lens2c1,112$21 inWon+$1,090.9229637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Racing Club de Lens2c649.78$13 inWon+$636.7818351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Racing Club de Lens22c456.9$101 inWon+$356.3826660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Racing Club de Lens26c119$31 inWon+$88.066755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Olympique Lyonnais74c119$88 inLost-$88.0659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Racing Club de Lens45c100$45 inWon+$5526046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Olympique Lyonnais55c100$55 inLost-$5524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Olympique Lyonnais62c80.65$50 inLost-$504753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Racing Club de Lens22c48.86$11 inWon+$38.114067.5%27 W · 13 L+9.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+99.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd5f6…ac93backed Olympique Lyonnais58c46.88$27 inLost-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Racing Club de Lens73c28$20 inWon+$7.5624052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.