Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccd751a45129058c61c2ffca2c52cad45f5c25c67bc83089646a89eb0fd21c11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Club de Lensof Olympique Lyonnais, Racing Club de Lens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Racing Club de Lens | 62c | 2,105$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.92 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Racing Club de Lens | 64c | 1,210$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.29 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 546.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.71 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Racing Club de Lens | 66c | 536.27$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 440.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 318.18$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 235$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 234.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Olympique Lyonnais | 39c | 224.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 69c | 213.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Racing Club de Lens | 67c | 176.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Racing Club de Lens | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Racing Club de Lens | 67c | 107.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Olympique Lyonnais | 38c | 93.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 80.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 75.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olympique Lyonnais | 27c | 69.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Racing Club de Lens | 64c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Racing Club de Lens | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Racing Club de Lens | 69c | 43.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Olympique Lyonnais | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Racing Club de Lens | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 60c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Racing Club de Lens | 62c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Racing Club de Lens | 63c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Racing Club de Lens | 79c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Racing Club de Lens | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 0.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.