Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x778efc7bdb825e66613bd0cafaa282816016c74f4cfbd734e83b1fc319cdea8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 12c | 4,509$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.32 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 11c | 3,633$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under | 68c | 735.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 566.46$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 11c | 427.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 11c | 398.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 14c | 319.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 274.94$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 71c | 249.14$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 220.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 72c | 209.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Over | 12c | 203.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 71c | 181.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 76c | 150.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 11c | 148.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Over | 50c | 47.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 79c | 24.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 77c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 0.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.