TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Under43c23,028$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30019235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c9,833$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.136,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over56c9,276$5,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.442774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over66c7,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.962277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c4,547$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.941,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under44c4,500$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9802060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under48c4,089$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.216040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c4,079$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.22,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Over79c3,770$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over57c3,518$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.5615757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under44c3,200$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.974841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under44c3,130$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.1620545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Under44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0122828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c1,513$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.224,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under43c1,420$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4935941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over57c1,404$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.5110338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over56c1,341$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.071752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c1,215$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.8875542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.485935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3969150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under44c818.18$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under56c803$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bb…4645backed Over55c799.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.991450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over75c752.07$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.074470.5%31 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over44c738.64$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.641346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over52c711.54$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.544057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.442657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e1…c25cbacked Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.661747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2648756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c599.89$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd53f…570cbacked Over28c559.61$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+254.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Under19c527.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Over56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Under69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3452347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over53c495.55$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.561,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c479.98$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over62c459.85$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.915856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over54c397$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.621540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Over53c377.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under34c354$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3629250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under34c349.44$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.819246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over56c321.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.436451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c318.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.621,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9bd…65a9backed Over57c306.56$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.821637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15012139.7%48 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Under44c299.94$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.974557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over74c297.3$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.31560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over57c284.21$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.212347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under36c277.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.741,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over56c266.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1980853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.162065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Over58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.623060%18 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over56c255$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.25650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under22c220.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.569742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over80c210$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4215263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9630645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27d…6dfcbacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under44c199.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9915738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Over56c194.64$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.642138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over20c191.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.627522.7%17 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c186.76$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5532951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4428859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5354…33e5backed Over58c167.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed Over57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+65%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under34c151.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6339555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over56c135$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.44753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over55c134.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.199549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over75c133.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4628654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under44c130.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.416250%31 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under11c127.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.524712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over14c123.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28a…acadbacked Under79c123.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.49953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under54c118.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.222653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over57c115$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.941160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under30c112.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.124736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0920…19a4backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec0…0551backed Over56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+51.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411048.2%53 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…1fa7backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4519834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9911433.3%38 W · 76 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c98.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2955351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over30c96.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6710136.6%37 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over51c96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0412020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over56c94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3627752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Under15c92.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2921254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over56c88.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.099957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.