Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefdbc6d3d665a543d60673411c92af51f42f524a8f035176fc2f6c45641e7fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tottenham Hotspur FCof Aston Villa FC, Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Aston Villa FC | 24c | 2,302$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.32 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 1,672$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aston Villa FC | 14c | 1,562$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.01 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 76c | 1,262$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.84 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Aston Villa FC | 15c | 966.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Aston Villa FC | 24c | 912.5$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 620.33$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…fedebacked Aston Villa FC | 20c | 493.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Aston Villa FC | 16c | 442.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Aston Villa FC | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 76c | 293.96$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Aston Villa FC | 22c | 251.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…2837backed Aston Villa FC | 23c | 239.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…f286backed Aston Villa FC | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Aston Villa FC | 8c | 166.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Aston Villa FC | 24c | 153.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 76c | 130.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 125.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aston Villa FC | 18c | 118.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Aston Villa FC | 12c | 117.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 75c | 106.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Aston Villa FC | 23c | 103.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Aston Villa FC | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…7ff6backed Aston Villa FC | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 76c | 66.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Aston Villa FC | 23c | 64.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Aston Villa FC | 24c | 56.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Aston Villa FC | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Aston Villa FC | 24c | 45.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…aad9backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…d015backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 20.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.