Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ef561fd5de6db19d5a8956a8eead20b999546d430944387332119376ad116de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 20c | 1,357$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,153$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.65 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 80c | 512.5$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Over | 80c | 346$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 80c | 328.75$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 78c | 304.94$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 289.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 80c | 248.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 239.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…3578backed Over | 79c | 215.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 20c | 183.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454d…00e2backed Over | 80c | 117.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Over | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 80c | 64.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…874fbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 80c | 41.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6b53backed Over | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 80c | 20.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…f719backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 74cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…3beebacked Over | 80c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…4a14backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…c1d8backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.