Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b1084f4b881cca7cdf26afb0b8c1b997c78886c58ad7af58ca955bda6eeafbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aston Villa FCof Tottenham Hotspur FC, Aston Villa FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 76c | 898.67$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.75 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Aston Villa FC | 47c | 704.81$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.66 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 15c | 661.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 14c | 657.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Aston Villa FC | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…9997backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aston Villa FC | 71c | 434.82$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 66c | 387.5$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 66c | 350$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aston Villa FC | 43c | 348.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.53 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 61c | 328.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 4c | 298.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 12c | 268$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Aston Villa FC | 44c | 155.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 26c | 152.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 14c | 142.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 21cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 45c | 111.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked Aston Villa FC | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 14c | 102.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 14c | 94.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Aston Villa FC | 53c | 75.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…1be9backed Aston Villa FC | 41c | 73.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Aston Villa FC | 56c | 63.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 53.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…d4cebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Aston Villa FC | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aston Villa FC | 40c | 40.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Aston Villa FC | 36c | 39.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 61c | 37.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Aston Villa FC | 40c | 37.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Aston Villa FC | 44c | 36.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 43c | 33.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 43c | 30.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Aston Villa FC | 55c | 25.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 57c | 23.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.