Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab77d43d14b38f66ea2b639784383761fcfd9cd911389be321d8a70be66c3d7a

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,271 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	5,205$2,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,399.32	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.95	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over	34c	2,940$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.82	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	65c	2,242$1,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$778.95	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over	44c	1,885$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.4	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over	34c	1,471$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.94	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+34%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over	20c	1,359$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.74	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	32c	1,300$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.99	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	18c	1,090$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under	51c	899.3$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.66	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under	36c	833.33$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.33	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x941e…7863backed Over	36c	805.56$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	64c	730.5$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.91	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	68c	607.82$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.5	432	41.9%181 W · 251 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over	43c	534.99$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.05	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Under	57c	526.22$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.27	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6e0a…8521backed Under	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89f9…b9c5backed Over	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	43c	437.21$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Under	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	68c	413.52$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.33	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	65c	403.93$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.38	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	65c	386.35$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.5	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	58c	346.06$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.07	240	52.9%127 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	35c	345.41$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.1	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under	56c	341.73$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.73	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under	58c	337.33$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.17	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	65c	299.99$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	335	51.3%172 W · 163 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9bd…65a9backed Over	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Over	35c	271.43$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+5.8wins	+0.21per pick	37cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6ad2…fb00backed Over	35c	251.43$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under	52c	233.55$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.59	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	66c	218.69$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.35	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over	14c	214.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	75	22.7%17 W · 58 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	64c	200$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	66c	197.06$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under	68c	183.82$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.82	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	66c	170.56$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.66	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over	22c	169.97$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.79	114	33.3%38 W · 76 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b01…e682backed Over	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	65c	134.97$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.24	698	51.1%357 W · 341 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	65c	130$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.5	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5354…2785backed Under	55c	120$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	49c	102.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	33c	99.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Over	36c	96.72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.82	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Over	51c	94.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.45	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	29c	92.06$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.65	158	58.2%92 W · 66 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over	50c	90$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b5c…e5aabacked Over	38c	89.28$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.68	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	57c	87.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.3	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73e2…264cbacked Over	36c	83.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+3.8wins	+0.47per pick	40cpaid	+166.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under	61c	78.77$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.77	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under	60c	75.94$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over	66c	75.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	41c	69.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.75	412	60.2%248 W · 164 L	+22.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	63c	61.9$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.9	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	65c	60$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	28c	55.56$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	226	44.2%100 W · 126 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under	72c	55.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	35c	54.17$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over	37c	49.05$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Under	66c	46.7$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.88	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under	68c	44.12$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.12	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5f…0614backed Over	66c	44.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under	61c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Under	67c	37.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.3wins	-0.30per pick	58cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1907…824cbacked Under	66c	36.36$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.36	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under	56c	35.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.51	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over	60c	31.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Over	33c	30.76$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Under	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a1…578abacked Under	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	60c	29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.71	245	57.6%141 W · 104 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over	52c	27.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	67c	26$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.58	128	54.7%70 W · 58 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	67c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c1…5981backed Under	66c	22.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.68	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	62cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Under	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5this page
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event