Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d09f8e68277b76782e067ff960a2c061e80d7755d153dfd7fc5ce05f684fa5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 3,837$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.81 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 71c | 2,364$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.5 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,114$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.4 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 667.86$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 572$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 4c | 460$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 71c | 379.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 5c | 368$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Under | 76c | 263.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 71c | 136$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 28c | 51.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 71c | 38.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Under | 72c | 27.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 72c | 22.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.