Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9918c7b2a8d939624d2968444d5a329be750b2f2fb6d42fefbc69dedead094d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hellas Verona FCof Como 1907, Hellas Verona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Como 1907 | 24c | 20,741$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hellas Verona FC | 76c | 12,411$9,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.94 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 3,438$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.64 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Como 1907 | 8c | 1,268$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Como 1907 | 7c | 510$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Hellas Verona FC | 76c | 460$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Como 1907 | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hellas Verona FC | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Hellas Verona FC | 76c | 338$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Como 1907 | 5c | 278$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Como 1907 | 16c | 171.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Hellas Verona FC | 78c | 122.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Hellas Verona FC | 78c | 104$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hellas Verona FC | 76c | 101$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 76.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Hellas Verona FC | 79c | 36.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Hellas Verona FC | 79c | 20.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.