Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73e622b7a0ba9217e5e9d30f539ceef904d581a0e41290c67d9048130ce27424

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $295,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $299,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,170 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over	47c	126,308$59,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,155.87	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Over	50c	52,598$26,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,098.55	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over	48c	37,076$17,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,191.95	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	49c	32,925$16,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,289	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	29,427$14,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,076.27	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	23,158$11,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,579.24	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under	52c	14,000$7,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,280	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under	53c	13,961$7,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,399.08	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under	52c	10,750$5,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,589.99	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	53c	6,400$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	53c	6,172$3,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,271	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-6.7wins	-0.34per pick	49cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under	53c	6,145$3,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,256.77	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under	53c	5,849$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under	53c	5,001$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650.35	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Under	53c	4,908$2,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	53c	4,668$2,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,477.81	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	35c	4,505$1,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,585.64	283	45.2%128 W · 155 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	52c	4,443$2,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,316.66	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6426…ff48backed Under	53c	4,360$2,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	62cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	13c	4,278$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.63	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under	53c	3,774$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9970…ce06backed Under	53c	3,753$1,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,989.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	54c	3,200$1,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,728	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under	53c	3,200$1,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,695.87	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	52c	3,048$1,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,591.52	271	38.4%104 W · 167 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under	53c	2,479$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.88	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	54c	2,400$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	52c	2,200$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	53c	2,054$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.62	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under	54c	2,000$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under	44c	1,600$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.69	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	75c	1,573$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.08	446	55.4%247 W · 199 L	+22.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	49c	1,562$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.42	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaa…1721backed Under	51c	1,537$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Under	53c	1,500$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	54c	1,400$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over	50c	1,400$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	53c	1,280$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under	52c	1,268$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under	53c	1,200$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	54c	1,200$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	52c	1,088$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.76	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	47c	980.8$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.57	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	53c	960$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	53c	960$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	53c	900.78$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.53	550	58.7%323 W · 227 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under	39c	828.78$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.21	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under	50c	800.52$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.25	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under	53c	799$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.99	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	53c	786$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.58	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over	75c	779.24$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.81	140	55%77 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under	53c	754.72$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-7.5wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	54c	700$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	48c	692.45$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.53	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	49c	663.4$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.13	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	54c	650$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	53c	642.13$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.86	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	54c	600$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Under	53c	600$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	54c	600$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	54c	600$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	47c	598.49$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.2	126	35.7%45 W · 81 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	53c	594$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.82	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under	53c	566.04$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	53c	482$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.46	146	52.7%77 W · 69 L	+11.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	54c	480$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.2	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	54c	480$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.2	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	23c	478.23$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.96	531	40.7%216 W · 315 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	53c	471$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.63	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	53c	471$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.63	636	45.1%287 W · 349 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	53c	471$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.63	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under	27c	468.47$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.07	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	72c	416.67$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	142	60.6%86 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	51c	401.8$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.77	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	54c	400$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Over	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	54c	400$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under	54c	393$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.22	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over	71c	329.99$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.3	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under	53c	321.57$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.66	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under	53c	320.75$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	54c	320$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.8	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	57c	312.3$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.55	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under	43c	300$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	50c	294.2$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.1	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	54c	280$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	54c	280$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	79c	267.92$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.52	110	65.5%72 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	52c	260.04$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.54	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	53c	240$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.2	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under	53c	213.65$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.23	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-6.2wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under	53c	203$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.59	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	33	3%1 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5this page
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Over won
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event