Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabd5e9eed1657aba6c66029641f81060a9243e83041acebb14239accfa200ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 35c | 17,624$6,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,509.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 7,193$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.92 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 48c | 4,143$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.61 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 46c | 3,496$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.68 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 2,349$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.22 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 47c | 2,020$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.8 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 62c | 1,660$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 1,465$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.92 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.49 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 30c | 946$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Over | 45c | 893.07$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 38c | 845.74$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.38 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 72c | 763.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 60c | 687.12$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 33c | 640$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 48c | 615.54$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.08 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 40c | 599.98$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 53c | 550.7$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.84 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Under | 29c | 540.28$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 64c | 450.69$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 28c | 384$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 60c | 355.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f39…4c71backed Under | 69c | 349.3$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed Over | 38c | 325$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Under | 34c | 295.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 37c | 270.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Under | 71c | 202.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 197.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…7243backed Over | 38c | 187.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Under | 59c | 178.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 155.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 46c | 130.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 122$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 43c | 121.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 75c | 108.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…f273backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 62c | 95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 60c | 91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5978backed Under | 38c | 82.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 37c | 81.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 55c | 80.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 69.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…fcbdbacked Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 49c | 51.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 42c | 49.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 69c | 48.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 46c | 48.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 47.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 45.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 28c | 44.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Under | 55c | 43.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Under | 37c | 40.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Under | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 51c | 34.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…4930backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 62c | 32.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 71c | 31.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…982dbacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Under | 37c | 29.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 62c | 27.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 46c | 26.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked Under | 47c | 25.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 58c | 24.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddc…6ebabacked Under | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.