TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec8d…dd71backed Under39c11,784$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,595.726746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over61c10,620$6,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,141.810450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over46c8,134$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,373.448351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c7,551$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,561.284,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under20c3,257$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9622753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over62c2,903$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.2317731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c2,829$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.593,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under38c1,563$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39064457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under38c972$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.361172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.643366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Under51c723.75$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Under44c681.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.917750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15516149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over77c497$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over45c451.78$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4912626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over79c433$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5921139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over61c430.46$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.574463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under39c423.23$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.064753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under41c412.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over79c410$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.845841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed Over77c379.81$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c362.01$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.761657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over69c340$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+58.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over57c322.46$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9619258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over34c321.03$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8812470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x95cd…ef5ebacked Over56c293.75$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.752147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under47c253$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7113251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over72c252.27$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.695853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15022157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over43c230.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.239722.7%22 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under38c217.68$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under33c207.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under30c202.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3120241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over43c201.19$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0222553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66d4…fe2dbacked Over65c200.63$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.995137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Over70c186$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2415150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under6c177.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.663013.3%4 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+350.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over58c172.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.933956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under14c159.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c159$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1183444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over63c158.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8922939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under32c155.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9919555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over57c143.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x933d…4118backed Over65c127.92$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Under30c124.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.043046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over56c116.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1214140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over73c111.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.116348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c108.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5545450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over59c101.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.784163.4%26 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under31c100.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506650%33 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over57c98.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.396459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over70c93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.94252.4%22 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under30c84.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over58c84.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.269740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over55c83.18$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1637348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under39c82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9310450%52 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.212044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under37c78.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Under34c73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.822544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.575750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over61c64.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67b…dc73backed Over69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-60.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under22c58.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9120253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under38c58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0924048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Under39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8910348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1817044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c49.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over51c48.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.719558.9%56 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ab…83f5backed Over58c46.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.554877.1%37 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over67c45.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.893151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over40c43.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.313060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over76c43.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3859655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9628138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Over62c41.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.943441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over71c41.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under49c41.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.26937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5196…2196backed Over49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over69c40.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5810761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde6b…7178backed Over61c35.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under34c33.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3726154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.269857.1%56 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.