TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Rayo Vallecano de Madridof Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, Getafe CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,959 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7841…7273backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid7c500$34 inWon+$466.113419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14c209.39$29 inWon+$180.0820241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid16c201.63$33 inWon+$168.951,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14c200$28 inWon+$1724252.4%22 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid61c179.8$110 inWon+$69.683,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Getafe CF30c166.93$50 inLost-$503330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Getafe CF26c82.85$21 inLost-$21.4440%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.