TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over44c5,384$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.718351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over31c4,720$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4823438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over35c3,782$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.6812132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c3,436$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.914,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under65c2,511$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.661,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under69c2,057$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.2284144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c1,055$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.743,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Over34c844.12$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2871741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under66c808.17$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under72c680.16$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under65c643.59$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5635442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over16c642.19$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.553740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under64c628.8$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.376160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over32c592$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.447440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c562.64$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.565356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13061032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x941e…7863backed Over29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14075751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under65c384.88$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7170050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ee…7e3abacked Over35c351.43$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under73c330$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4120743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under65c323.17$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.952,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over22c299.94$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under69c299.4$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.817950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over41c298.78$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.522653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over23c296.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1612626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under66c296$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over41c285.45$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6121439.7%85 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c255.2$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.118041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over27c252.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5322753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over32c221.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over41c204.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.776456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over31c196$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa221…84e9backed Under66c181.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under69c174$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9422446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under65c151$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8511741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over42c142.05$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4419953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over24c140$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.68028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over24c135.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under72c133.2$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6946040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8589…bd9cbacked Over35c131.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under66c130$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.24845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under73c122.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8962258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under65c111$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.851,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over41c108.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.516348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under73c104$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3324048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3515344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513750.4%69 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5196…2196backed Over42c95.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over34c95.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Under69c92.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.75862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under65c89.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4920857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over33c89.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over38c88.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6859855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under76c83.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2213251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under63c82.46$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.874657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over41c77.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.314665.2%30 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Over42c77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over41c72.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.219258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over38c68.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269823.5%23 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under75c64.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.193935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over32c59.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over23c57.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.232722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3d…f1eabacked Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over38c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.336170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over28c51.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.151,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.520451.5%105 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over26c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under69c49.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2737348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under56c47.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.163262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under65c47.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6945949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over47c44.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.846764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159950.5%50 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over25c42.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6220241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over29c40.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8644524.3%108 W · 337 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over42c39.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5528846.5%134 W · 154 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Under66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8821457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over35c35.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4820253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over37c32.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.364443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under59c31.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Under66c30.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Under70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.576453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cde…b413backed Under66c27.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.212878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7523455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019042.1%80 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.