TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed3d…f1ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.92
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$6.76
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.78
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.4
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$10.35
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.97
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.83
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.88
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+66%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$25.37
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.83
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$86.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+191.9%+$28.93
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$67.94
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.67
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$49.3
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.88
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+37.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$5.13
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$20.12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.34
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$15.76
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$47.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+89.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,925
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+265.5%+$1,980.75
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+400%+$3,199.77
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.66
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$8.91
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+168%+$25.2
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.22
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+171.2%+$59.54
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+54.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+115%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.38
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+588.8%+$231.53
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$47.85
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$10.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-70.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$36.76
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+67%+$505.94
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$15.95
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$5.71
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick18cpaid+562.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$30.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)backed Auckland FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fagiano Okayama vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.