TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$257,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes53c97,581$51,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,644.7615647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No47c93,076$43,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,330.313553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes53c93,017$49,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,218.39649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No47c28,071$13,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,858.467549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c20,076$11,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,025.8277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c11,292$5,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,877.251,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c9,196$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,850.923,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No47c8,872$4,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,702.1623858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No47c6,529$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.263658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c6,343$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,355.5397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No63c6,148$3,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.4999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes45c2,940$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.985451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x665c…307bbacked No48c2,888$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.76911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd752…a1c5backed Yes53c2,642$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No55c2,577$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…4194backed No59c2,222$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes49c1,979$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.391010%1 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd24c…5809backed Yes51c1,962$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.798560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes38c1,855$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69810043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes11c1,752$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No47c1,600$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c1,582$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8913228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes17c1,401$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3613518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No48c1,329$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.4613942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes38c1,310$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No63c1,302$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.6858043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No47c1,188$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.9468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No47c1,173$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.769854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Yes35c1,058$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.111540%6 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Yes20c999.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.992927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No65c994.89$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.8678344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c976$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6327058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes35c880.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.441838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes53c832.08$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No50c813.57$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.573842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes52c799.98$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No54c733.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.981181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c729$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.671,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37112661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No48c691.91$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7553040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No47c689.33$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2219560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes38c661.24$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No47c638.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2910450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes19c637.11$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.717753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3254641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3258946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes10c609.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No47c550$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No47c510.63$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6415748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2659848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked No49c493.01$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.971060%6 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+193.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No66c491.53$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8922946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes41c420$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.252639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes52c400$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21214359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No48c379.71$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.452755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes36c358.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-74.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No48c338.81$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.818257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Yes46c326$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+62%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c321.97$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6437649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes52c295.59$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No47c286.16$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3420249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Yes11c279.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+158%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed No50c271.24$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.621947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No47c265$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c265$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed No47c255.08$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.194151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c241$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.824351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes53c235.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes49c228$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6136646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes18c210$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Yes48c208.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c203.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No48c200.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No65c199.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9920849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes51c196.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No48c191.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No47c190.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.032065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes10c180$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82330.4%7 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+316.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.415060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.44250%21 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No47c173.4$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.95856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No47c170$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.13348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes53c168.61$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No47c167$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.586248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.