Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88d79a2e158094da06c1faf8584c266a5b86c1b8ae8f6dbe3da20bab795d2066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 38c | 2,213$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.14 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Yes | 61c | 1,257$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,197$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.86 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,167$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.09 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,006$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 57c | 962.99$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 45c | 860.18$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.25 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 700.85$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.76 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 26c | 651$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Yes | 72c | 561.89$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Yes | 31c | 505$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 27c | 504.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 26c | 422.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 34c | 396.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.68 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 386.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.61 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 38c | 350.82$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 29c | 346.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.38 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 38c | 344.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 29c | 339.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 66c | 315$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 311.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Yes | 71c | 283.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 30c | 221.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 195.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes | 61c | 183$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed No | 15c | 180.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +158%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 29c | 173.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 39c | 161.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 155$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 69c | 154$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 72c | 151.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 56c | 131.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 62c | 129.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…8453backed No | 72c | 104$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 55c | 100.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 56c | 91.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 30c | 91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…be63backed Yes | 76c | 90.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 17c | 89.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 26c | 77.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 66c | 75.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 23c | 70.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 69.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 30c | 62.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 28c | 55.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 52c | 55.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 77c | 54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…999fbacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…471bbacked Yes | 72c | 51.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 50.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 45.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 57c | 43.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 36cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…3b2fbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 63c | 29.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 71c | 24.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 74c | 23.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 56c | 19.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 59c | 17.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.