TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x007c…3b2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.02
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.08
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$15.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$13.75
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$60
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$11.88
All 23 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.43
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+34.2%+$8.92
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.94
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$33.28
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$5.91
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.27
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.79
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.38
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.8%+$42.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$14
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+52.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Luleaabacked Froelunda HC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Malmoebacked Skellefteaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.