TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$319,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes48c71,865$34,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,266.893557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c40,344$20,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,447.8562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes47c38,085$18,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,041.314045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c15,221$7,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,266.952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No8c12,112$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,175.8448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked Yes46c9,919$4,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,562.572040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes51c9,357$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No46c9,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8602853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No44c8,920$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,988.675257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c8,073$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.7329637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7606347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c7,495$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.961,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No50c6,920$3,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.0621143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No52c6,390$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8204548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes55c5,514$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,036.055651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c5,339$3,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.581,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No18c5,326$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,383.9724349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes56c5,216$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No53c5,084$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.345947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No53c4,885$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.06887.5%7 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.53per pick34cpaid+178.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No45c4,298$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.78850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes47c4,112$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6455151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No9c3,122$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.3618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4105151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.993053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.987549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No19c2,969$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.0445233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No17c2,833$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.0133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes57c2,582$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.938435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes55c2,518$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.9823250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.863836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No52c2,270$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.673461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes55c2,231$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.951233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes13c2,150$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.174833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed No46c2,015$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No53c1,845$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.1812647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes55c1,761$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.463250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Yes55c1,761$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No16c1,656$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.932123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…9837backed Yes55c1,612$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No43c1,575$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.541346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes68c1,255$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.14231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No11c1,111$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.795330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes39c1,039$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.361225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+73.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4705251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No15c994.24$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.16443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Yes55c973$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes53c971.89$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.513737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes50c939.08$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No53c900.86$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.48254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4234951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f3…5d8ebacked Yes80c871.71$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No53c865.44$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.765251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes11c860.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38414654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3764447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3764753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes49c750$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.757949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes53c707.41$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.7926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes47c707.4$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.484751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No47c683$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.525860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes79c611.19$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.841656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c611$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.1628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No52c600.3$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.147946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f59…21cbbacked No50c547.67$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No44c533$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.488143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes56c521.57$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.081428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No48c503.07$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.097149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2356654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2356051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2355552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2354953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No50c495.37$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.691275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.427049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.433148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c479.17$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2827748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No42c477.51$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.792254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No20c476$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.86446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No53c460$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.26357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes55c435.88$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.276943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3de3…2fc5backed No45c415.81$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes52c358.55$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.348644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd370…e78ebacked Yes56c344.24$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Yes57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked Yes56c330.5$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No46c330$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.21747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No46c326.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.571650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes55c325.65$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.711540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No78c324.03$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4915071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes57c314.46$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.241145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No53c312.12$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.151752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No54c310.68$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.911850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.