Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c374fb4e46c8447d16d7c6d2c1d1ca912361776858c2b35819ec806cb08643e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 4c | 8,721$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.64 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 74c | 3,814$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.21 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 3c | 3,298$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 3,004$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.03 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 9c | 2,090$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,749$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,743$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 1,577$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.07 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 6c | 1,471$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 27c | 1,428$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.54 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 1,314$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.02 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 1,178$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.05 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 78c | 1,160$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.4 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 21c | 1,123$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 1,055$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.57 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 22c | 924.58$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 2c | 711.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 638.46$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.46 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 13c | 580.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…de85backed Yes | 3c | 481.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked Yes | 5c | 471.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 77c | 365.34$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 21c | 302.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…f704backed Yes | 22c | 254.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed No | 79c | 198.72$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…1ab9backed No | 79c | 197.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 176.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 7c | 169$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 125.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…60ccbacked No | 72c | 116.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…f2c4backed Yes | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 77c | 111.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 100.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 24c | 100.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 22c | 99.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…9837backed No | 77c | 99.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 71c | 95.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 24c | 89.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 75.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed No | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked No | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 80c | 59.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 26c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…38b2backed Yes | 22c | 51.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…e483backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 28c | 47.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…ccc8backed No | 79c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 25.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 78c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…d7cdbacked No | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…e0a1backed No | 75c | 17.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 79c | 17.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 72c | 16.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed No | 80c | 15.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.