Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f33e1fff0979d6113edb4d5dd9fb8c5623c9bfce773eff01a93212b9bc1683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 4,045$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.07 | 1,464 | 41%600 W · 864 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 69c | 2,032$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.99 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 9c | 1,907$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 1,308$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.44 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 18c | 1,037$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.19 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 655.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.51 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 66c | 608.91$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.19 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 484.15$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.68 | 893 | 44.5%397 W · 496 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 22c | 444.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 11c | 433.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +357.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.23 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…3b62backed No | 75c | 347.18$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 76cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 337.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 520 | 35.8%186 W · 334 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 19c | 239.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 235$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 335 | 45.4%152 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 34c | 223.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.53 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…f704backed Yes | 24c | 218.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 35c | 207.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 76c | 198.11$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d82abacked Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 53c | 184.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 24c | 159.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 149.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…957bbacked Yes | 26c | 149.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 143.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 189 | 46.6%88 W · 101 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 140.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 279 | 41.9%117 W · 162 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…fa23backed Yes | 24c | 107.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 56c | 106.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…3f75backed No | 75c | 97.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 13c | 82.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +382.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 23c | 81.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +66%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 22c | 77.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 75.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 247 | 43.7%108 W · 139 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 73.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 152 | 71.7%109 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 70.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 575 | 49%282 W · 293 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 40c | 58.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…b61abacked No | 75c | 57.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 77c | 55.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 53.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 167 | 48.5%81 W · 86 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…603dbacked Yes | 80c | 13.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.