TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$402,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x916f…53babacked Yes60c44,925$26,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,969.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No39c30,008$11,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,703.163046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c23,392$13,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,519.8348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No40c19,898$7,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,959.366346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes61c16,393$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,393.444070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes60c15,394$9,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,102.923641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes59c13,553$8,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,523.978042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No41c13,048$5,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,351.251323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No41c12,195$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.972250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No40c10,849$4,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,389.7668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No42c10,676$4,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4845641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No40c10,508$4,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,228.2733148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No40c10,392$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.85738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No40c10,354$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,141.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No23c10,312$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.952,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No40c9,734$3,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,846.342339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No18c8,230$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No40c7,994$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,197.581338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No39c6,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.995550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.989631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No20c5,571$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.4349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes59c5,267$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.2798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c5,054$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.421,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes74c4,914$3,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.1396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes78c4,373$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.0632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No40c4,104$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.038752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed No40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No40c3,500$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes59c3,333$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.537444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No41c3,284$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.569952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No40c3,135$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2545347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No39c3,034$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.452339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1707332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d99…8c95backed Yes60c2,797$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No41c2,504$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.2441854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.992552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ced…e5e1backed No41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aef…32cfbacked Yes60c2,402$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f37…4d4bbacked No40c2,396$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No5c2,269$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.623237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No41c2,209$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.741833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No41c2,146$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8804445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No41c1,991$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.43641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No10c1,903$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.616819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes61c1,826$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.782133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No40c1,739$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.3540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83b…def4backed Yes60c1,670$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e7…2f52backed No40c1,666$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes60c1,659$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.8713553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7334…f912backed Yes60c1,630$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes60c1,617$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No40c1,428$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Yes60c1,300$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes59c1,185$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.6646047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No41c1,183$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.21650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Yes58c1,177$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…be90backed Yes60c1,067$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes61c985.2$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.2334643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e8…1bb9backed Yes60c916.67$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes60c900$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No41c850$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Yes60c835$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked No41c799.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3281136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes59c789.34$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No5c787.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.391850%9 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ad…d8e2backed No42c780$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No19c777$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.637231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd325…d6d1backed Yes59c760$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…b24abacked Yes59c740$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0e1…cdaabacked Yes60c733.33$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae7c…6797backed No42c720$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes62c700$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0510757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes59c687.15$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes77c676.72$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes61c658.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.873948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeaf…f14bbacked Yes59c650$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2057…0629backed Yes60c640$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda40…6938backed No42c636$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No41c634.15$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes58c632.76$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.7633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes61c622.92$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.945354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No17c620$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.422237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6f…2390backed No42c610$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes58c599.96$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.997150.7%36 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No40c597.56$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9756…1a82backed Yes59c596$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No35c570.55$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.364320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No23c560.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9616838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a48…498cbacked Yes62c557.69$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes60c530.22$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.095459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes60c503.33$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.