TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0e1…cdaa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-43.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,300
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$352
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$215.99
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$253.64
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$236.63
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$112.2
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$125.19
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$161.54
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$325.6
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$101.84
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$74.43
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$256.75
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$66.76
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$50.3
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$67.69
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$234.32
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$54.13
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$505
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$87.55
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$101.66
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$80.5
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$115
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$81.18
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$151
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$164
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$141.82
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$123.49
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$293.33
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+163.2%+$481.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$105.45
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$273
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$258
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$197.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.