TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Devils, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,555,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,602,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,555,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 887 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Devils39c500,000$195,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304,999.9910840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Wild61c345,894$210,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210,995.5410753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Wild61c256,410$156,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,410.2610349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wild39c207,317$81,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,212.831,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Wild0c177,250$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.251947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Devils39c162,685$63,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,238.118354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Devils58c72,440$42,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,321.5132744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Devils67c61,000$40,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,129.9211745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Wild58c59,787$34,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,414.091,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Wild61c44,000$26,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,84048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Devils57c36,299$20,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,608.730944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ac7…e0efbacked Devils67c25,000$16,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,261.53757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Wild61c20,000$12,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,20013449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Devils39c19,860$7,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,114.429548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Wild61c18,760$11,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,443.524654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Devils38c14,042$5,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,655.372,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Devils39c12,800$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,807.9928353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Devils69c12,630$8,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,937.162161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Devils38c11,808$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,308.378247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Devils39c11,704$4,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,164.7638844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Wild63c10,314$6,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,498.0311052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Devils57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild61c10,000$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,079.9933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Devils58c9,379$5,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.226958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Devils38c9,229$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,701.2228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Devils67c8,229$5,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.564866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Devils38c7,638$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,763.9860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Wild35c7,204$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Wild62c7,108$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,406.9419051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Wild2c7,104$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.226031.7%19 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Devils59c6,894$4,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.512,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Devils38c6,824$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,208.8193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Devils37c6,500$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.921,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Wild62c6,452$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Wild44c6,180$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.456157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Devils57c6,125$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.85364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Wild61c5,006$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.5513363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Devils39c4,991$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.4814940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Devils57c4,901$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.3162951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wild63c4,493$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.711,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Devils38c4,363$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,705.085152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild60c4,068$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.91,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Wild61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Devils37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Wild61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.9924945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wild1c3,923$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Wild61c3,920$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.7121755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Devils39c3,846$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.1531654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Wild43c3,713$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.758252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Devils40c3,650$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,19026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wild57c3,587$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.9768449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Devils39c3,500$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1358134.6%28 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked Wild61c3,015$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.143764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wild61c2,987$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.24841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Devils69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.554778.7%37 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Devils67c2,745$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.943154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Wild62c2,680$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.614848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild60c2,615$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.8447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Wild61c2,556$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.3322852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Devils40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5008368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils38c2,500$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.7597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wild36c2,494$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.6538738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Devils53c2,423$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.341,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Devils38c2,400$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47660249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Devils57c2,375$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.252050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wild1c2,221$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.887450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Devils58c2,217$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.578650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wild37c2,195$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.6334538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x987b…9370backed Wild45c2,067$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Devils38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d1…4ebcbacked Wild63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2601080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+60.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils58c2,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.991,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dff…b486backed Devils37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.971181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+68.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wild1c2,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Devils38c1,801$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.5386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Wild34c1,765$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29ae…4d2cbacked Devils77c1,671$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.167354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Wild39c1,624$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.1617057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x879f…f155backed Wild62c1,615$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff1…d32bbacked Wild62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Devils40c1,600$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96024845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild35c1,599$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e48…7353backed Devils38c1,595$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Devils67c1,525$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.256456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49b4…d0b0backed Devils38c1,493$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+62.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71e…2ebabacked Wild62c1,493$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…804cbacked Devils38c1,490$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7f…9786backed Wild62c1,490$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…d040backed Wild62c1,489$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x016e…bd54backed Devils38c1,489$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x735c…4029backed Wild62c1,488$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.56825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa4…eccfbacked Wild62c1,488$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe038…5554backed Devils38c1,488$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654f…f6f2backed Devils38c1,488$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b44…da5cbacked Wild62c1,488$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.56850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e67…4f8bbacked Devils38c1,488$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa037…b92dbacked Devils38c1,487$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a8…6912backed Wild62c1,487$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f59…9e10backed Devils38c1,485$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7a…dac0backed Wild62c1,485$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.