NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8161d209f71c52199720fec0cf04189885135e7bd9dc874dfc4215bf79b0fc59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Wild, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 40c | 6,377$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.28 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 60c | 3,030$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.7 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Devils | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 40c | 1,753$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.9 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Wild | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Devils | 63c | 1,209$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.48 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils | 61c | 893$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.27 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Devils | 61c | 558.4$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.78 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Devils | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Wild | 41c | 300$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild | 38c | 299.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Wild | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wild | 37c | 209.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Wild | 39c | 159.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 47c | 135$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wild | 40c | 133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Wild | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Devils | 62c | 113.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Wild | 40c | 102.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Devils | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Devils | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Devils | 61c | 83.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Wild | 37c | 68.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Devils | 60c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Wild | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Wild | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Wild | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Devils | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Devils | 59c | 40.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Devils | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Devils | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Devils | 61c | 29.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. WildDevils won
- Devils vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.